Sunday, August 14, 2011

The Sun and why it is the reason we are warming.


"There are numerous studies that find a correlation [between solar variation and Earth climate]," Sami Solanki of the Max Planck Institute for Solar System Research in Lindau, Germany
Global warming and sunspots















"We have to offer up scary scenarios, make simplified, dramatic statements, and make little mention of any doubts we may have. Each of us has to decide what the right balance is between being effective and being honest." Stephen Schneider, advocate of the global warming theory in interview for Discover magazine, Oct 1989
Temperatures and Solar Cycles follow each other very closely. More importantly you will see that it is not exact. You will have times of higher sunspots and lower temperatures and you will also have the opposite. Why is this so important? Because weather is not based on one element. You could double the sunspots but if one major volcano erupted it would counter every sunspot for years. You could increase sunspots, co2, and have no volcanoes erupting but if the earth's orbit around the sun is at a further distance it could cancel out everything else.
From 1645-1715 there were very few sunspots, that corresponds to the Little Ice Age. Lack of Solar activity is also the cause for the Ice Age.
Sunspots are currently reaching a 1,000 year high
Stronger solar storms could start as early as this year or as late as 2008 and should peak around 2012. The next solar cycle will be 30 to 50 percent stronger than the last cycle. Meaning, don't be surprised by higher temperatures and possible blackouts.

Earth's orbit is broken into different cycles greatly affecting our weather.
  • Milankovitch Cycles - Over thousands of years, changes in Earth's orbit causes an increase or decrease in the amount of the Sun's energy that gets to the planet.
  • Eccentricity - The shape of Earth's orbit around the Sun becomes slightly more and then less oval every 100,000 years.
  • Precission - Earth wobbles on it axis as it spins, completing a full wobble every 23,000 years.
  • Tilt - : The angle of the Earth's axis relative to the plane of its orbit changes about three degrees every 41,000 years

What does all this mean? It means Earth's rotation changes every year and unless your 100,000 years old and kept historical records we don't know exactly what to expect.
Over the next 10,000 years, northern hemisphere winters will become longer and its summers will become shorter.
Today, the northern hemisphere summer is 4.66 days longer than its associated winter and spring is 2.9 days longer than fall.
Fluctuations in the number of cosmic rays hitting the atmosphere directly alter the amount of clouds covering the planet.(This is still new to scientists and they are just starting to learn how important cosmic rays are)
Climate models do not include the cosmic ray effect.
Cosmic rays are high-speed sub-atomic particles, mostly nuclei and protons. The come from black holes and colliding galaxies.
Interstellar dust increasing and expected to increase by 3 times the amount by 2013. The potential effects are not well known, according to Landgraf and his colleagues at the Max-Planck-Institute. The increase is thought to be related to an 11-year cycle of sunspot activity.
The solar system is plowing toward the fringes of a galactic cloud known as the G-cloud. The time of the entry into the G-cloud is unknown, but is expected to occur any time in the next 10,000 years.
Every year in December a helium-rich breeze from the stars hits Earth for a few weeks. It cannot penetrate to the surface and has little if any affect on the Earth but it does prove that we are constantly being hit by gases, protons and random cosmic rays from else where in the Universe.


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