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Wednesday, August 31, 2011
Tuesday, August 30, 2011
OH NO JULIA! ...Latest Ice Core Results…Earth COOLING!
"We live in the coldest period of the last 10.000 years" , says
glasiologist, Jørgen Peder Steffensen who take us back in time to the Greenland icecores and reveals the secrets from the past.
glasiologist, Jørgen Peder Steffensen who take us back in time to the Greenland icecores and reveals the secrets from the past.
Computer models have been the basis for global warming alarmism…man made climate change etc. Many of these models have been shown to be flawed. Today more emphasis is being placed on the observational data and temperature reconstructions.
Before you vote on a “Carbon” tax to save the world, you owe it to those who elected you to to explore the possibility that the modelling is wrong and to have a closer look at the observations and what can be derived from that data.
The two graphs below tell a far different story to that promoted as “settled science” by the establishment government funded climate lobby.
There are several ways to predict what the temperature trends of the next century will be like. The standard method of prediction in science is to create a theory which embodies a model, test the model experimentally, and then run it into the future for the prediction. There is another way, however, which is simpler in some ways although more complex in others. That’s simply to remember what’s happened before, and assume it will happen again.
Here’s a record of what’s happened before, which most WUWT readers will be familiar with. It’s the GISP2 Greenland ice core record, shown for the Holocene:
I have shamelessly spliced on the instrumental record in red (by setting the temps in 1850 equal); it is the HadSST record.
When I first started looking at GISP2 it seemed to me that there were several places in the record that looked very much like the sharp spike in temperature we’re experiencing now. The obvious thing thing to do seems to be to overlay them for an easy comparison:
Here I’ve plotted the 400 years following each minimum in the record that leads to a sustained sharp rise. There were 10 of them; the first five are plotted in cyan and the more recent 5 in blue. You can see that in the latter part of the Holocene the traces settle down from the wilder swings of the earlier period. Even so, every curve, even the early ones, seems to have an inflection — at least a change in slope — somewhere between 200 and 250 years after the minimum.
The hatched black line is the average of the 5 recent (blue) spikes. The red dots are the uptick at the end of GISP2 and HadSST, spliced at 1850. Note that ALL the minima dates are from GISP2.
Prediction of the 21st century is left to the reader as an exercise.
Read ‘em and weep.
Source : http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/07/01/whats-up-next/
EXCLUSIVE: Robert Kernohan Stat Dec Alleging Severe Misconduct Leaked
By Tim Andrews
An anonymous source has just sent us a link to a purported statutory declaration by Robert Kernohan, former President of the Victorian Branch of the AWU, making serious allegations and implicating Julia Gillard in wrongdoing. It discusses all the fraud in the AWU in the 90's, implicates a lot of people for misappropriation of funds, details offers of ALP safe-seat preselection to silence people, and so on.
An anonymous source has just sent us a link to a purported statutory declaration by Robert Kernohan, former President of the Victorian Branch of the AWU, making serious allegations and implicating Julia Gillard in wrongdoing. It discusses all the fraud in the AWU in the 90's, implicates a lot of people for misappropriation of funds, details offers of ALP safe-seat preselection to silence people, and so on.
An extract of this was posted online a few days ago, and it was mentioned on 2UE radio, and it is my understanding that this statutory declaration formed the part of Glen Milne's column in The Australian, which was later removed with the Australian issuing a retraction, stating that elements in the piece relating to Gillard were inaccurate.
I must stress that I can not vouch for the accuracy of any of the claims made in this document. Crikey today has a lengthy piece setting out that the allegation that Julia Gillard lived in a house purchased by embezzled funds as "false", and attacked the credibility of the author. As such - as with all things - it should be treated with a healthy degree of skepticism at a minimum.
However, with the events of the last few days surrounding this document, and as someone who has always believed in transparancy and openness, I feel that, as it is an important part of the media story that this document should be made availiable to the public.
Getup.org are asking supporters to give $5 per week to help them fight what they call the ultra- conservatives.
I was sent this email today from a friend of mine - I would say that you have given some people a bit of a wake-up call over the weekend.
Getup.org are asking supporters to give $5 per week to help them fight what they call the ultra- conservatives.
I have copied their email here:
"It's been getting pretty wild out there.
There's a new right-wing force rising in Australian politics, and they’re taking lessons directly out of the US Tea Party playbook – even down to the name. The new so-called "Australian Tea Party" has many backers, but just one message: No.
No to a price on pollution. No to marriage equality. No to pokies reform. No to restrictions on live exports. No to anything that challenges their conservative agenda.
They may speak loudly and shamelessly, but they certainly don't speak for all Australians. Isn't it time the rest of us brought a bit of sanity and reality back to our national debate?
On so many of these issues, GetUp members are a voice of hope and reason -- but everything this community achieves is only possible because of people like you chipping in small donations from across the country. Can you chip in just $5 a week to support our movement's ongoing work? Read below to see exactly what your contribution will achieve.
www.getup.org.au/HopeNotHate
$5 a week can help:
- Pay for strategic opinion polls to show politicians that extreme voices don't speak for the rest of us;
- Build a new online tool to allow local groups to start their own GetUp-style campaigns;
- Support local climate organisers who are already working tirelessly on town hall meetings and community engagement in the electorates of key independent MPs; and
- Produce rapid response radio ads on FM and community radio stations to bypass conservative talkback and bring some facts back into the climate debate.
The amount of fear, rage and hysteria on parade in our national debate recently even prompted Tony Abbott to warn party MPs that, “we don’t want our country reduced to two warring camps.” Yet all this vitriol hasn't come from nowhere -- it's been encouraged by right-wing politicians and shock jocks from the beginning. And despite Mr Abbott's reported call to civility, the puppet masters of hysteria show no signs of really changing tack. In fact, just moments after Mr Abbott told MPs they had a duty to act responsibly, Liberal frontbencher Sophie Mirabella urged anti-carbon tax protestors to "keep the rage alive."
We can't fight rage with more anger; or hysteria with more fear. But we can ensure that our community's more noble voices aren't silenced, steamrolled or intimidated - because most of us truly believe in something better than "no". Click here to make your small weekly contribution:
www.getup.org.au/HopeNotHate
We're here, in large numbers. We're real. We have real hope for our future and real demands of our leaders to rise to a higher vision of what's possible. No isn't nearly good enough for us, for our kids, or for our communities. Yet we know there are many people in Australia who hear constantly from those who only say "no."
We need to reach these people where they are -- with ads on popular radio stations and television shows; inside town halls and forums in rural communities; and with creative, high-profile events that can leverage greater media attention and re-shape the national debate. Together, we will make a difference: chip in today.
Thank you for all that you do,
The GetUp team
There's a new right-wing force rising in Australian politics, and they’re taking lessons directly out of the US Tea Party playbook – even down to the name. The new so-called "Australian Tea Party" has many backers, but just one message: No.
No to a price on pollution. No to marriage equality. No to pokies reform. No to restrictions on live exports. No to anything that challenges their conservative agenda.
They may speak loudly and shamelessly, but they certainly don't speak for all Australians. Isn't it time the rest of us brought a bit of sanity and reality back to our national debate?
On so many of these issues, GetUp members are a voice of hope and reason -- but everything this community achieves is only possible because of people like you chipping in small donations from across the country. Can you chip in just $5 a week to support our movement's ongoing work? Read below to see exactly what your contribution will achieve.
www.getup.org.au/HopeNotHate
$5 a week can help:
- Pay for strategic opinion polls to show politicians that extreme voices don't speak for the rest of us;
- Build a new online tool to allow local groups to start their own GetUp-style campaigns;
- Support local climate organisers who are already working tirelessly on town hall meetings and community engagement in the electorates of key independent MPs; and
- Produce rapid response radio ads on FM and community radio stations to bypass conservative talkback and bring some facts back into the climate debate.
The amount of fear, rage and hysteria on parade in our national debate recently even prompted Tony Abbott to warn party MPs that, “we don’t want our country reduced to two warring camps.” Yet all this vitriol hasn't come from nowhere -- it's been encouraged by right-wing politicians and shock jocks from the beginning. And despite Mr Abbott's reported call to civility, the puppet masters of hysteria show no signs of really changing tack. In fact, just moments after Mr Abbott told MPs they had a duty to act responsibly, Liberal frontbencher Sophie Mirabella urged anti-carbon tax protestors to "keep the rage alive."
We can't fight rage with more anger; or hysteria with more fear. But we can ensure that our community's more noble voices aren't silenced, steamrolled or intimidated - because most of us truly believe in something better than "no". Click here to make your small weekly contribution:
www.getup.org.au/HopeNotHate
We're here, in large numbers. We're real. We have real hope for our future and real demands of our leaders to rise to a higher vision of what's possible. No isn't nearly good enough for us, for our kids, or for our communities. Yet we know there are many people in Australia who hear constantly from those who only say "no."
We need to reach these people where they are -- with ads on popular radio stations and television shows; inside town halls and forums in rural communities; and with creative, high-profile events that can leverage greater media attention and re-shape the national debate. Together, we will make a difference: chip in today.
Thank you for all that you do,
The GetUp team
Monday, August 29, 2011
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CLICK ON THE BUY NOW BUTTON NEXT TO THE ITEM YOU WISH TO PURCHASE. ONCE PAYMENT IS RECEIVED YOUR STICKER WILL BE SENT TO THE NOMINATED ADDRESS PROMPTLY ALLOW 3 TO 4 DAYS FOR DELIVERY..THANK YOU.
*** OFFICIAL*** CONVOY OF NO CONFIDENCE CANBERRA RALLY ! THE REAL STORY PART 1.
I wonder whether the Convoy of No Confidence will be an unexpected pivot point in Australian politics.
The vast majority of the people in the convoys are not active in politics. They have never been to a rally, never protested before. They have seen the worst and the best in the last week or so. The outpouring of bile and venom in some areas of the net is extraordinary. Complaints range from the petty to the accusational. They have been belittled, misrepresented, pigeon-holed and reviled.
Julia Gillard was far too busy to take up the invitation to address them. Bob Brown also declined, but the Greens organised a counter-protest with an email declaring that the convoy was going to blockade Canberra.
Bob Brown called the protest something of a truck flop, because it hasn’t blockaded anything (something neither planned nor intended). It was described as politically motivated because one of the organisers is a former candidate for the LNP. Anthony Albanese, the Transport Minister, called it a ‘Convoy of No Consequence’ whilst the ALP giggled in Parliament, so no mockery there. There were allegations that the convoy was bankrolled by right-wing groups.
The convoys worked very closely with police to minimise traffic disruption, were kept separated and diverted to the fringes of the city in various showgrounds. Canberra had no rush hour (or blockade) on Monday, but now there have been complaints that it cost a lot of money in policing.
The numbers for this and the previous week’s demonstration may not look that impressive, but the protesters are unique in a number of ways. Look at their ages. How many of them have protested before? They are not rent-a-mob. They haven’t been bussed in or equipped with placards. They certainly haven’t been funded by the LNP or shadowy right-wing think tanks, as was suggested by several Green affiliates. Tony Abbott may be a fellow-traveller in opposing the Carbon Tax, but a large number are simply interested in getting a government that will govern. They’ve paid their way, driven for days and taken time off from their businesses. In a real sense, as witness some of the scenes en route, they are representing communities, not just themselves or their staff.
Whole towns came out to support the convoys on the rural routes. People dug into their pockets to make the trip, and others dug into their pockets to feed them, show them hospitality, greet them and applaud them on their way. People dressed in the convoy colours drove down to the main routes to wave them past.
So, these are not teenagers marching for World Peace with ‘Gay Whales against the Bomb’ placards. People who run their own businesses have an acute sense of what will damage those businesses, and of how slim the margin between profitability and bankruptcy. Their super is their business, not a cushy indexed-linked pension. Devalue their business, attack their livelihood and they will react. Farmers have overdrafts to make the average householder’s eyes water, and rely on annual payments through crops and sales. They have seen the disruption and destruction caused to an entire successful industry by a campaign against animal cruelty and a knee-jerk governmental response. They are aware that there are graziers who are in a slow-motion train wreck as a result, who have stock they cannot sell and cannot afford to feed, who are slipping inexorably down the drain. If they go, rural suppliers take a hit, as bills remain unpaid, demand for feed and essentials dries up. That erodes hauliers business as costs keep rising. Whole communities are at risk. For Senator Christine Milne to talk about “exiting opportunities… in carbon farming” is ridiculous.
The convoys were news in South Africa, Korea, the UK, around the world. Every news channel in Australia carried some mention. Not bad for a non-violent protest ‘failure’.
So is the carbon tax going to save the planet? It identifies (but does not publish) the major polluters, exempts and compensates the worst offenders (or those with political clout), proposes to bribe the electorate, and appears to treat the whole exercise as social engineering. Money will be paid to the UN. Success relies on trading certificates, and the Danes found out how many holes there can be in that process when they were rorted out of 2 per cent of their GDP in 18 months by carbon trading scams. A calculation using Treasury numbers puts the cash outflow on certificates at over $50 billion a year in 2050. Currency variations will be a problem, as will fraudulent certificates, and banks will want their cut.
It is already apparent that research grants will not go to ideologically unsound projects, such as clean coal or nuclear power.
Rural Australia expects disproportionate cost increases, well beyond the government models. Freight and refrigeration are energy intensive. Many small businesses are price takers, not price makers, so will be forced to absorb costs. How are they going to get more efficient? Turn the power off? Stop driving? Put up a solar panel? Some will go under. Farms don’t tend to come back. That’s OK – Australia is rich enough to import food for the moment, but China will be buying food, too. Sell a farm to a miner, bankrupt the farmer or plant it with trees, the net result is the same - a reduction in food security.
The carbon tax is an icing on a particularly unpalatable cake of governmental legislation and spend, from industrial relations legislation to an NBN which is more likely to generate porn profits than build the nation.
Rural communities are likely to look at the way the convoy was treated, and use it as a proxy for the way they are regarded, and they are probably correct. A politician should be sparing with contempt for voters; a little goes a very long way, and is remembered for a very long time. Anthony Albanese may have thought it was a clever line; time will tell how smart it was.
Saturday, August 27, 2011
Australia introducing a carbon-trading scheme is like shooting ourselves in the foot.
I’ve just been overseas for two weeks in Africa. Before I went away the debate over Australia’s Carbon Tax was running hotter than the globally warmed planet we live on. Flying back into Australia last week the first thing I noticed was this debate was still raging – and for a number of reasons; not least Julia Gillard’s back flip on the Carbon Tax that would not happen under a government she leads. One only has to wonder who actually is leading Australia’s government at the moment! In addition to this, our PM has ignored the “Law of Process” that engages everyone concerned BEFORE a policy is announced. She has also changed her tune on why we need a Carbon Tax in the first place. Initially it was because of our care for the environment. This week in China she said it was to safeguard Australia’s economic future – which one is it?
Now, I’m not one of those people who think we shouldn’t care for the environment because one day God’s going to make a new earth. That’s like saying “One day God’s going to give me a new body so why bother to look after the one I’ve got?” We look after our bodies because we have to live in them right now – and that’s the same reason we should look after the earth!
But not everyone is driven by this motivation of care. Some people are motivated by fear – fear of the future if we don’t change our ways now. Others are driven by a trendy political correctness –it’s cool to be Green!
Whatever our motivation we Aussies find ourselves in an invidious situation. Whatever we do to care for the environment, especially to stem global warming, is going to make no difference whatsoever to planet Earth. The truth is that if Australia shut down tomorrow it would have little or no effect on global warming – we are just too small to make a difference. We only emit 1.5% of the world’s carbon dioxide whereas India and China together are responsible for 42% and the USA makes up a significant part of the rest. Most of these countries don’t care what harm they do to the planet; they just want to be rich!
And so Australia introducing a carbon-trading scheme is like shooting ourselves in the foot. We need to care for the planet; but we also need to take into consideration how we penalize ourselves to make a difference that we alone cannot make. We’ll pay more for food, power and petrol (if you think prices are high now - just wait!). We need to have a balanced environmental approach that takes into account the health of Australia – its businesses and its people.
The other argument for a carbon tax is that Australia needs to set a “good example” so the rest of the world will follow. But, will the rest of the world follow us? Me thinks not! Last year:
• China released its own global warming strategy that refused to cut its total emissions.
• The Garnaut report highlighted that China’s emissions would more than likely treble by 2030 and make up 37% of global emissions, three times more than the United States (much of this because of the coal WE export to China – and this week our PM guaranteed that we would continue to export)
• India issued its National Action Plan on Climate Change stating that they would rather save their people from poverty than global warming – and who can blame them?
• The Garnaut report highlighted that China’s emissions would more than likely treble by 2030 and make up 37% of global emissions, three times more than the United States (much of this because of the coal WE export to China – and this week our PM guaranteed that we would continue to export)
• India issued its National Action Plan on Climate Change stating that they would rather save their people from poverty than global warming – and who can blame them?
And so I come back to my original comments. I am concerned about the environment – yes. But I am also concerned that Australia is heading down a track that has the potential to cripple the country we love without making a scrap of difference to the global environment. Costs will increase, thousands of jobs will be lost and many industries will simply relocate to another country to reduce their costs. The result? The same gases pumped into the atmosphere but from a different location! All this just proves that Australia's proposed carbon tax is just a lot of hot air.
Friday, August 26, 2011
"Climate Change" crusaders is a "load of hot air". Professor Ian Plimer.
Australia's best known Geologist, Ian Plimer, Professor of Mining Geology at The University of Adelaide and Emeritus Professor of Earth Sciences at The University of Melbourne, Author of "Heaven and Earth, Global Warming: The Missing Science", and several other great books.
In an extensive interview with Brian Carlton, the Professor gives the background on this book as well as providing insights into the reasons why he believes that the concerns of the "climate change" crusaders is a "load of hot air".
In an extensive interview with Brian Carlton, the Professor gives the background on this book as well as providing insights into the reasons why he believes that the concerns of the "climate change" crusaders is a "load of hot air".
Thursday, August 25, 2011
Carbon Tax ! Why Because we care about the environment ..YEH BOLLOCKS!!
The federal government has allowed an oil company to drill near the newly declared World Heritage area.
The Department of Environment says Shell can drill the Palta-1 well, about 50km west off the edge of the Ningaloo Marine Park offshore Western Australia, if it abides by certain conditions. These include taking measures to avoid significant impacts on threatened species and migratory species such as whales, according to a 'Notification of Referral Decision' document lodged by the Department of Environment.
Federal Environment Minister Tony Burke said a departmental delegate determined the proposed action did not require further assessment under national environmental law.
"It is appropriate for the department to provide me with advice on whether environmental law is triggered by any proposal," the minister said in a statement. "Not everything comes within the jurisdiction of my legal powers and when advice says it is beyond the legal jurisdiction of the federal government then I really do have to accept that advice."
Safe operations
Shell said it intended to operate the well safely and without any environmental impacts on the Ningaloo region.
"We are mindful of the significant biodiversity and heritage values of the Ningaloo region and we continue to plan our operations accordingly," Shell said on Thursday in a statement on its website. "The Exmouth Sub-basin is an important region for oil and gas production in Australia with existing exploration and production facilities operating safely in the region for many years."
World Wildlife Fund WA director Paul Gamblin said the federal government's decision deeply worried the conservation group. It was particularly concerning, he said, considering the Commonwealth had identified the areas surrounding Ningaloo as prime candidates for being declared an extension to the existing marine park.
"It is very concerning that the government, as it is doing that, is also allowing any oil and gas activities so close to the reef, an area that is fully protected," Paul said. "The development arm of government is very much outpacing the conservation arm."
Conservationists held grave concerns about the potential for an oil spill in the Ningaloo area, he added. "They should not allow high risk activities. This drilling operation will be one of the deepest ever in Australia at about 1300m, which is very deep, and it's on a slope as well, so it's technically challenging.
"If there were to be a spill in that kind of environment, which is also very cyclone prone, it would be very difficult to deal with," he said.
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